Search results

Filters

  • Journals
  • Authors
  • Contributor
  • Keywords
  • Date
  • Type

Search results

Number of results: 187
items per page: 25 50 75
Sort by:
Keywords climate change
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

We talk to the pioneering climate-change researcher Prof. Hans Joachim Schellnhuber about the role of decency in fighting climate change, and why excellent climate science requires freedom and trust.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Hans Joachim Schellnhuber
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Prof. Paweł Rowiński, Vice-President of the Polish Academy of Sciences, talks about how climate change will affect Poland and what signs of it should we look for in our rivers.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Paweł Rowiński
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Climate atlases summarize large sets of quantitative and qualitative data and are results of complex analytical cartographic work. These special geographical publications summarize long term meteorological observations, provide maps and figures which characterise different climate elements. Visual information is supplemented with explanatory texts. A lot of information on short and long term changes of climate elements were provided in published Lithuanian atlases (Atlas of Lithuanian SDR, 1981; Climate Atlas of Lithuania, 2013), as well as in prepared but unpublished Lithuanian Atlas (1989) and in upcoming new national atlas publications (National Atlas of Lithuania. 1 st part, 2014). Climate atlases has to be constantly updated to be relevant and to describe current climate conditions. Comprehensive indicators of Lithuanian climate are provided in different cartographic publications. Different time periods, various data sets and diverse cartographic data analysis tools and visualisation methods were used in these different publications.
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Donatas Valiukas
Audronė Galvonaitė
Algimantas Česnulevičius
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

The aim of this study was to provide an estimation of climate variability in the Hornsund area in Southern Spitsbergen in the period 1976-2100. The climatic variables were obtained from the Polar-CORDEX initiative in the form of time series of daily air temperature and precipitation derived from four global circulation models (GCMs) following representative concentration pathways (RCP) RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 emission scenarios. In the first stage of the analysis, simulations for the reference period from 1979 to 2005 were compared with observations at the Polish Polar Station Hornsund from the same period of time. In the second step, climatic projections were derived and monthly and annual means/sums were analysed as climatic indices. Following the standard methods of trend analysis, the changes of these indices over three time periods - the reference period 1976-2005, the near-future period 2021-2050, and far-future period 2071-2100 - were examined. The projections of air temperature were consistent. All analysed climate models simulated an increase of air temperature with time. Analyses of changes at a monthly scale indicated that the largest increases were estimated for winter months (more than 11°C for the far future using the RCP 8.5 scenario). The analyses of monthly and annual sums of precipitation also indicated increasing tendencies for changes with time, with the differences between mean monthly sums of precipitation for the near future and the reference period similar for each months. In the case of changes between far future and reference periods, the highest increases were projected for the winter months.
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Marzena Osuch
Tomasz Wawrzyniak
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Prof. Anna-Katharina Hornidge of the German Development Institute (DIE) draws on a systems-theory perspective to show how politicians, voters, companies and countries can be addressed to take climate change and environmental challenges of the future seriously.
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Anna-Katharina Hornidge
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

In the era of a global climate crisis, genetic pollution opens up new opportunities, but also carries the risk of a global catastrophe.
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Weronika B. Żukowska
1

  1. Department of Geneticsand Environmental InteractionsInstitute of Dendrology PAS in Kórnik
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Climate change is fueling migration to cities. How do we organize this process in a way that is supportive of intercultural integration?
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Marta Piechocka-Nowakowska
1

  1. Information Society Development Foundation in Warsaw
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

It’s difficult to imagine a more curious continent: Antarctica, once very austere and inhospitable, is now becoming greener as a result of climate change.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Katarzyna J. Chwedorzewska
Małgorzata Korczak-Abshire
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Any effective response to ecological crisis calls for collaboration of all parties involved.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

John Chryssavgis
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Prof. Tandong Yao and Prof. Fahu Chen describe our growing understanding of climate change impacts in the “Pan-Third Pole” region, discussing both coping strategies and research initiatives focusing on the region.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Tandong Yao
Fahu Chen
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Air quality and climate change, as two crucial environmental emergencies confronting our societies, are still generally viewed as separate problems requiring different research and policy frameworks. However, they should rightfully be viewed as two sides of the same coin. What we truly need to seek, therefore, are “win-win” solutions.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Maria Cristina Facchinii
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Uncertainties as to how the climate will change and how it will influence the necessities and trends of irrigation development lead to a number of serious questions to be answered in the near future. How irrigation and water systems will have to adapt to climate changes is a challenge that planners, designers and O&M services will have to cope with.

It is widely accepted that air temperature in Poland will increase of 2–4°C, however a total yearly precipitation will not vary yet its pattern during the year may change towards higher in winter and lower in summer. Evapotranspiration and crop water demand may rise due to both an increase in temperature and duration of crop growth cycles.

Three main factors are expected to exert an accelerating influence on the development of irrigation: increased frequency and intensity of droughts and long-lasting precipitation-free periods with the high insolation and high air temperatures resulting from climate change; the intensification of agricultural production (e.g. in horticulture, orchards, seed crops), being forced by both domestic and European free-market competition; the necessity of reaching high level of quality for the majority of agricultural products.

To mitigate negative effects of climate change and extreme events, appropriate adaptation methods and adaptation strategies should be developed and implemented in existing irrigation and water control systems. A number of technological and organisational steps should be taken to improve operation, management, administration and decision making processes.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Leszek Łabędzki
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

On the basis of selected mean monthly climatic elements from the 5-year period of whole-year expedition of the Polish Academy of Sciences to Spitsbergen climatic conditions in Hornsund are presented. Thermal seasons of year have been distinguished and the weather course in the annual cycle is discussed.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Jan Rodzik
Waldemar Stepko
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Height, frequency and spatial differentiation of atmospheric precipitation of the summer season for the period 1975-1982 are presented. Results of the respective investigations are compared with atmospheric precipitation in other areas of the western coast of Spitsbergen.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Kazimierz Marciniak
Rajmund Przybylak
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Prof. Zbigniew Kundzewicz from the PAS Institute of Agricultural and Forest Environment in Poznań talks about the negative impact of climate change on our lives and what we can do to save ourselves.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Zbigniew Kundzewicz
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

The subject of this paper is to analyse the climate change and its influence on the energy performance of building and indoor temperatures. The research was made on the example of the city of Kielce, Poland. It was was carried out basing on the Municipal Adaptive Plan for the city of Kielce and climate data from the Ministry of Investment and Development.The predicted, future parameters of the climate were estimated using the tool Weather Shift for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP). The analysis took into consideration the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios for years 2035 and 2065, representing different greenhouse gas concentration trajectories. Scenario RCP4.5represents possible, additional radiative forcing of 4.5 W/m2 in 2100, and RCP8.5 an additional 8.5 W/m2. The calculated parameters included average month values of temperature and relative humidity of outdoor air, wind velocity and solar radiation. The results confirmed the increase of outdoor temperature in the following year. The values of relative humidity do not change significantly for the winter months, while in the summer months decrease is visible. No major changes were spotted in the level of solar radiation or wind speed. Based on the calculated parameters dynamic building modelling was carried out using the TRNSYS software. The methodology and results of the calculations will be presented in the second part of the paper.
Go to article

Bibliography


[1] D. Burghila, C.-E. Bordun, M. Doru, N. Sarbu, A. Badea, and S. M. Cimpeanu, “Climate Change Effects – Where to Next?,” Agric. Agric. Sci. Procedia, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aaspro.2015.08.107
[2] H. Kawase et al., “Changes in extremely heavy and light snow-cover winters due to global warming over high mountainous areas in central Japan,” Prog. Earth Planet. Sci., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-020-0322-x
[3] Z. Zhou et al., “Is the cold region in Northeast China still getting warmer under climate change impact?,” Atmos. Res., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104864
[4] J. Hansen, M. Sato, R. Ruedy, K. Lo, D. W. Lea, and M. Medina-Elizade, “Global temperature change,” Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 2006, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0606291103
[5] Z. W. Kundzewicz et al., “Flood risk and climate change: global and regional perspectives,” Hydrol. Sci. J., 2014, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2013.857411
[6] L. Gu et al., “Projected increases in magnitude and socioeconomic exposure of global droughts in 1.5 and 2 °C warmer climates,” Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-451-2020
[7] M. Kocsis, A. Dunai, A. Makó, A. Farsang, and J. Mészáros, “Estimation of the drought sensitivity of Hungarian soils based on corn yield responses,” J. Maps, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1080/17445647.2019.1709576
[8] E. M. Blyth, A. Martínez-de la Torre, and E. L. Robinson, “Trends in evapotranspiration and its drivers in Great Britain: 1961 to 2015,” Prog. Phys. Geogr., 2019, https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133319841891
[9] V. Diaz, G. A. Corzo Perez, H. A. J. Van Lanen, D. Solomatine, and E. A. Varouchakis, “Characterisation of the dynamics of past droughts,” Sci. Total Environ., 2019, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.134588
[10] J. Ma et al., “The Characteristics of Climate Change and Adaptability Assessment of Migratory Bird Habitats in Wolonghu Wetlands,” Wetlands, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13157-018-1068-8
[11] R. Bhambri et al., “The hazardous 2017–2019 surge and river damming by Shispare Glacier, Karakoram,” Sci. Rep., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-61277-8
[12] D. Parkes and B. Marzeion, “Twentieth-century contribution to sea-level rise from uncharted glaciers,” Nature. 2018, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0687-9
[13] M. Zemp et al., “Global glacier mass changes and their contributions to sea-level rise from 1961 to 2016,” Nature. 2019, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1071-0
[14] A. F. S. Ribeiro, A. Russo, C. M. Gouveia, P. Páscoa, and C. A. L. Pires, “Probabilistic modelling of the dependence between rainfed crops and drought hazard,” Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2019-37
[15] T. Frederikse et al., “Antarctic Ice Sheet and emission scenario controls on 21st-century extreme sea-level changes,” Nat. Commun., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-14049-6
[16] A. Di Luca, R. de Elía, M. Bador, and D. Argüeso, “Contribution of mean climate to hot temperature extremes for present and future climates,” Weather Clim. Extrem., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/J.WACE.2020.100255
[17] T. F. Stocker et al., Climate change 2013 the physical science basis: Working Group I contribution to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. 2013.
[18] S. Schaphoff, U. Heyder, S. Ostberg, D. Gerten, J. Heinke, and W. Lucht, “Contribution of permafrost soils to the global carbon budget,” Environ. Res. Lett., 2013, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014026
[19] D. M. Lawrence, C. D. Koven, S. C. Swenson, W. J. Riley, and A. G. Slater, “Permafrost thaw and resulting soil moisture changes regulate projected high-latitude CO2 and CH4 emissions,” Environ. Res. Lett., 2015, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094011
[20] S. T. Ngai et al., “Future projections of Malaysia daily precipitation characteristics using bias correction technique,” Atmos. Res., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.104926
[21] B. E. Berglund, “Human impact and climate changes - Synchronous events and a causal link?,” Quat. Int., 2003, https://doi.org/10.1016/s1040-6182(02)00144-1
[22] C. K. Folland et al., “Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861,” Geophys. Res. Lett., 2001, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL012877
[23] A. Goliger et al., “Comparative study between poland and south africa wind climates, the related damage and implications of adopting the eurocode for wind action on buildings,” Arch. Civ. Eng., 2013, https://doi.org/10.2478/ace-2013-0003
[24] T. Skoczkowski, S. Bielecki, A. Węglarz, M. Włodarczak, and P. Gutowski, “Impact assessment of climate policy on Poland’s power sector,” Mitig. Adapt. Strateg. Glob. Chang., 2018, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-018-9786-z
[25] A. Miszczuk, “Influence of air tightness of the building on its energy-efficiency in single-family buildings in Poland,” in MATEC Web of Conferences, 2017, vol. 117, https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201711700120
[26] S. Firlag, “Wpływ rodzaju systemu ogrzewczego na komfort cieplny i zużycie energii w jednorodzinnych budynkach pasywnych,” Czas. Tech., vol. 107, no. 4, pp. 49–57, 2010.
[27] Sotiris Vardoulakis, Chrysanthi Dimitroulopoulou, John Thornes, Ka-Man Lai, Jonathon Taylor, Isabella Myers, Clare Heaviside, Anna Mavrogianni, Clive Shrubsole, Zaid Chalabi, Michael Davies, Paul Wilkinson, Impact of climate change on the domestic indoor environment and associated health risks in the UK, Environment International, Volume 85, 2015, Pages 299–313, ISSN 0160-4120, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2015.09.010
[28] Mancini F, Lo Basso G. How Climate Change Affects the Building Energy Consumptions Due to Cooling, Heating, and Electricity Demands of Italian Residential Sector. Energies. 2020; 13(2): p. 410. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13020410
[29] Stagrum, A.E.; Andenæs, E.; Kvande, T.; Lohne, J. Climate Change Adaptation Measures for Buildings – A Scoping Review. Sustainability 2020, 12, 1721. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12051721
[30] I. Szer, E. Błazik-Borowa, and J. Szer, “The Influence of Environmental Factors on Employee Comfort Based on an Example of Location Temperature,” Arch. Civ. Eng., 2017, https://doi.org/10.1515/ace-2017-0035
[31] Knera D, Heim D. Application of a BIPV to cover net energy use of the adjacent office room. Manag Environ Qual An Int J 2016;27:649–62. https://doi.org/10.1108/MEQ-05-2015-0104
[32] Wieprzkowicz A, Heim D. Energy performance of dynamic thermal insulation built in the experimental façade system. Manag Environ Qual 2016;27. https://doi.org/10.1108/MEQ-05-2015-0097
[33] Barecka MH, Zbicinski I, Heim D. Environmental, energy and economic aspects in a zero-emission façade system design. Manag Environ Qual An Int J 2016;27:708–21. https://doi.org/10.1108/MEQ-05-2015-0105
[34] Firląg S, Piasecki M. NZEB Renovation Definition in a Heating Dominated Climate: Case Study of Poland. Applied Sciences. 2018; 8(9):1605. https://doi.org/10.3390/app8091605
[35] M. Kuśmierz, A., Hajto, M., Kacprzyk, W., Lisowska-Mieszkowska, E., Pawlak, J., Rymwid-Mickiewicz, K., Śnieżek, T., Grzegorczyk, I., Gorczyński, C., Kacprzyk, K., Borzyszkowski, J., Kamiński, Plan Adaptacji do zmian klimatu Miasta Kielce do roku 2030. Kielce, Warszawa, 2018.
[36] S. C. Maberly et al., “Global lake thermal regions shift under climate change,” Nat. Commun., 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15108-z
[37] Ministry of Investment and Development, Typical meteorological years and statistical climate data for energy calculations of buildings. Warsaw, 2018
[38] A. D. McGuire et al., “Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change,” Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U. S. A., 2018, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1719903115
[39] K. Riahi, A. Grübler, and N. Nakicenovic, “Scenarios of long-term socio-economic and environmental development under climate stabilization,” Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change, 2007, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2006.05.026
[40] Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Towards new scenarios for analysis of emissions, climate change, impacts, and response strategies. IPCC Expert Meeting Report on New Scenarios. Noordwijkerhout, 2008.
[41] J. Wibig, “Heat waves in Poland in the period 1951–2015: trends, patterns and driving factors”, Meteorol. Hydrol. Water Manag., 2017, https://doi.org/10.26491/mhwm/78420
[42] A. Krzyżewska and J. Dyer, “The August 2015 mega-heatwave in Poland in the context of past events”, Weather, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.3244
[43] S. Russo, J. Sillmann, and E. M. Fischer, “Top ten European heatwaves since 1950 and their occurrence in the coming decades”, Environ. Res. Lett., 2015, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124003
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Szymon Firląg
1
ORCID: ORCID
Artur Miszczuk
1
ORCID: ORCID
Bartosz Witkowski
2
ORCID: ORCID

  1. Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Al. Armii Ludowej 16, 00-637 Warsaw, Poland
  2. Faculty of Civil Engineering, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Na Grobli 15, 50-421 Wrocław, Poland
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

An analysis of a suite of climatological indices was undertaken on the basis of long-term (1979–2019) climatological data from the Polish Polar Station in Hornsund, SW Spitsbergen. It was followed by an attempt to assess the scale of their impact on the local environment. The temperature and precipitation indices were based on percentiles of the variables calculated for a population of daily values from the climate normals for 1981–2010. A greater share of both cyclonic and anticyclonic circulations from the S and SW sectors, forcing the advection of warm air masses from the south, was decisive for the trends of change in comparison with the long-term mean. Both extreme precipitation and drought events depend on the 500 hPa geopotential height and precipitable water anomalies, determined by the baric field over the North Atlantic. Climate changes impact on the dynamics of local geoecosystems by causing faster glacier ablation and retreat, permafrost degradation, intensification of the hydrological cycle in glaciated and unglaciated catchments, and changes in the condition and growth of tundra vegetation.
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Krzysztof Migała
1
ORCID: ORCID
Elżbieta Łepkowska
2
ORCID: ORCID
Marzena Osuch
3
ORCID: ORCID
Łukasz Stachnik
1
ORCID: ORCID
Tomasz Wawrzyniak
3
ORCID: ORCID
Dariusz Ignatiuk
2
ORCID: ORCID
Piotr Owczarek
1
ORCID: ORCID

  1. Institute of Geography and Regional Development, University of Wroclaw, Plac Uniwersytecki 1, 50-137 Wroclaw, Poland
  2. Institute of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, University of Silesia in Katowice, ul. Będzińska 60, 41-200 Sosnowiec, Poland
  3. Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Księcia Janusza 6 , 01-452 Warszawa, Poland
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

From 2009 to 2018, a total of 80 wheat crops were studied at plot and regional scales to predict stripe rust epidemics based on influential climatic indicators in Kermanshah province, Iran. Disease onset time and epidemic intensity varied spatially and temporarily. The disease epidemic variable was classified as having experienced nonepidemic, moderate or severe epidemics to be used for statistical analysis. Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to identify climatic variables associated with occurrence and intensity of stripe rust epidemics. Two principal factors accounting for 70% of the total variance indicated association of stripe rust epidemic occurrence with the number of icy days with minimum temperatures below 0°C (for subtropical regions) and below −10°C (for cool temperate and semi-arid regions). Disease epidemic intensity was linked to the number of rainy days, the number of days with minimum temperatures within the range of 7−8°C and relative humidity (RH) above 60%, and the number of periods involving consecutive days with minimum temperature within the range of 6−9°C and RH% > 60% during a 240-day period, from September 23 to May 21. Among mean monthly minimum temperatures and maximum relative humidity examined, mean maximum relative humidity for Aban (from October 23 to November 21) and mean minimum temperature for Esfand (from February 20 to March 20) indicated higher contributions to stripe rust epidemic development. Confirming PCA results, a multivariate logit ordinal model was developed to predict severe disease epidemics. The findings of this study improved our understanding of the combined interactions between air temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, and wheat stripe rust development over a three-season period of autumn-winter-spring.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Bita Naseri
Farhad Sharifi
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Every day, about 100 metric tons of extraterrestrial matter falls onto the Earth, most of it comprised of imperceptible particles.
Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Anna Łosiak
1

  1. PAS Institute of Geological Sciences in Warsaw
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Despite many years of research, we have yet to discover all the myriad ways various components of the climate interact. For instance, it looks likely that the circulation of oceanic waters has a much broader impact than previously thought.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Paweł Schlichtholz
Download PDF Download RIS Download Bibtex

Abstract

Prof. Patrick Meire of the University of Antwerp discusses subtle interdependencies in marine ecosystems and the transformations that they undergo under the influence of climate change.

Go to article

Authors and Affiliations

Patrick Meire

This page uses 'cookies'. Learn more