@ARTICLE{Stala-Szlugaj_Katarzyna_Polish_2024,
 author={Stala-Szlugaj, Katarzyna},
 volume={vol. 27},
 number={No 2},
 journal={Polityka Energetyczna - Energy Policy Journal},
 pages={211-226},
 howpublished={online},
 year={2024},
 publisher={Instytut Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi i Energią PAN},
 abstract={The article presents the latest forecasts for global coal demand and supply in the short and long term. According to IEA analyzes, there was to be a peak in global coal production and consumption in 2023 (amounting to 8.7 and 8.5 billion tons, respectively), with a successive decline in the following three years. At the 2026 horizon, global coal production will be 8.5 billion tons, declining by 4% from 2023. Coal demand will fall by 2% to 8.3 billion tons. In the 2050 outlook, according to the State Policies Scenario, coal production compared to 2022 will decrease by 43% to 3.5 billion tce. By contrast, according to the Announced Pledges Scenario, the decline will be 75%, with production expected to fall to 1.5bn tce. Coal production and demand will decline due to the decarbonization of many global economies. The article also presents forecasts of global coal production and demand by region. In Poland, coal is an important energy carrier based on indigenous production, supplemented by imports. Poland is one of the important producers and users of coal in Europe and the EU27. Between 2016 and 2022, Poland’s coal production decreased from 36 to 28 million tce. Coal production in Poland accounts for 14–15% of coal production in Europe and 20–22% of production in the EU27. Poland’s share is relatively small at 0.5–0.7% relative to global production. In terms of coal consumption, Poland’s share is relatively stable (32–38 million tce in 2016–2022). It accounted for 8–10% of European consumption, 11–16% of EU27 consumption and 0.6–0.7% of global coal consumption. The latest Polish forecasting document, a draft update of the National Plan Energy and Climate Plan to 2030, assumes in the 2030 horizon, relative to 2020, a 32% decrease in coal production to 30 million tce, and a 23% decrease in coal consumption to 19 million tce. Similarly to global trends, Poland is also pursuing a decarbonization policy for many branches of the economy.},
 type={Article},
 title={Polish Energy Policy in the context of the global coal demand prospects},
 URL={http://czasopisma.pan.pl/Content/131781/10-PE-27-2-10%20-%20STALA-SZLUGAJ.pdf},
 keywords={Poland, world, coal, forecasts, supply, demand},
}