@ARTICLE{Prandecki_Konrad_The_2018, author={Prandecki, Konrad and MichaƂowski, Artur}, number={No 25}, journal={Papers on Global Change IGBP}, pages={57-74}, howpublished={online}, year={2018}, publisher={Polish Academy of Sciences}, abstract={The purpose of this article is to identify and assess environmental risks that may have the greatest impact on the future of humanity. They were divided into two basic groups, i.e. for natural processes and resources. In addition, climate change is described as different group. The authors decided, that a holistic approach to this issue is more desirable than dividing it into two above-mentioned groups. The comparison of various threats was possible due to the application of identical assessment criteria, such as: the harmfulness, rate of spread, scope and moment of occurrence of a given group of threats. Each of the listed criteria has been evaluated on a five-point scale, where 1 has the smallest and 5 the largest impact force. The obtained results show the leading importance of natural processes in maintaining the existing Earth system. In addition, the authors point to a greater risk of problems related to renewable resources than non-renewable one. As a result, it can be assumed that the current degradation of natural processes and excessive use of resources is likely to lead to the risk of global disasters.}, type={Article}, title={The risk of catastrophes for civilisational development of environmental origin}, URL={http://czasopisma.pan.pl/Content/108942/PDF/7%20PRANDECKI,%20MICHA%C5%81OWSKI.pdf}, doi={10.24425/igbp.2018.124892}, keywords={environment, catastrophic risk, civilisational development, future studies, global threat}, }